05The evidence

Seven times more likely to die

Hospital is already more dangerous for disabled people. This Bill strips away the support that keeps them alive on the ward.

The headline number

Seven times more likely to die in hospital

This is not a scare line. It is the Government's own data. When the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare matched death records to disability records, it found that disabled people were dying in hospital from causes that proper care could have prevented at seven times the rate of everyone else.

The rate of potentially avoidable deaths in hospital was 238 per 100,000 for people with disability, against 33 per 100,000 for people without disability, in 2021 to 2022.

"Potentially avoidable" is the official term. It means deaths that could have been prevented with the right care or treatment. The AIHW counted these deaths for people it could identify through disability payments and services. That leaves out Western Australia and the Northern Territory, and it does not capture every disabled person. So the real figure is not smaller than seven times. It is very likely worse, because the people hardest to count are often the people hit hardest.

The Government knows disabled people die in hospital at seven times the rate of everyone else. It is cutting the support that helps them survive the ward anyway.

Why it happens

Hospitals are built for people who can speak up

A hospital runs on the patient telling staff what is wrong. Point to the pain. Answer the questions. Press the buzzer. Refuse the wrong medication. Ask for water. Many disabled people cannot do those things, or cannot do them fast enough to be heard. So they get missed.

The Disability Royal Commission spent years hearing this evidence. It did not mince words.

"Based on the evidence, we found there has been and continues to be systemic neglect of people with cognitive disability in the health system."
Disability Royal Commission, Interim Report, 2020

The Commission heard of disabled people being ignored, of doctors making unfounded assumptions, and of the pain and illness of a disabled patient being written off as just part of their disability. That last one has a name. It is called diagnostic overshadowing, and it kills people.

People with intellectual disability

Dying decades early, from things that were treatable

The largest Australian study of its kind linked the records of more than 19,000 adults with intellectual disability. It found they were dying young and dying from conditions that medicine already knows how to treat.

The researchers, led by Professor Julian Trollor at UNSW, put their conclusion plainly.

"Adults with ID experience premature mortality and over-representation of potentially avoidable deaths."
Trollor et al, BMJ Open, 2017

The NDIS worker who knows the person is the difference between staff who understand and staff who guess. Take that worker away and you are left with the system that produced these numbers in the first place.

Autistic people

Emergency departments can be the worst place to send us

Autistic people die earlier than the rest of the population. In New South Wales linked data covering nearly 36,000 autistic people, the death rate was more than double that of the general population. Part of that is the emergency department itself: the lights, the noise, the waiting, and staff who do not know how an autistic person shows pain.

A 2024 Australian study measured the barriers directly. Autistic adults reported far more trouble getting health care than anyone else.

The South West Autism Network here in WA says it as plainly as a parent would.

"Emergency visits to hospital can be very frightening for autistic children. It's important to tell health professionals that your child is autistic, so that they can better support their needs."
South West Autism Network

The national autism submission to the Royal Commission went further, and it is worth reading twice.

"Frequently, Accident and Emergency Departments in hospitals are set up to torture autistic patients: they are noisy, busy and overly stimulating. They are inappropriate environments for autistic people seeking treatment."
Autism Aspergers Advocacy Australia (A4), 2020

The risk that gets ignored

Suicide risk climbs when conditions stack up

Autistic people are far more likely to die by suicide. The risk is highest for autistic people who also have ADHD. In a large population study, autistic people without intellectual disability who also had ADHD were 13 times more likely to die by suicide than the general population.

People with schizophrenia carry a similar weight. About 1 in 20 will die by suicide over their lifetime. Australian data shows people who use mental health services live years less than everyone else, and most of those early deaths are from physical illness that went untreated, not the mental illness itself.

These are exactly the patients who need someone beside them on the ward: a known worker who spots the crisis, keeps them safe, and stops them walking out the door before they are seen. That is the support the Bill cuts.

When support is missing

A man starved to death on an Australian ward

Stewart Kelly was 45 and autistic. He went into Robina Hospital on the Gold Coast in August 2022. He died there 33 days later, from starvation and dehydration. In a hospital.

The Queensland Health Ombudsman investigated and found systemic failures in the hospital's care, especially in recognising and responding to his disability. The health service admitted it.

"We acknowledge that there were significant failings in this patient's care."
Gold Coast Hospital and Health Service, 2023

This is what happens when the system does not understand the person in the bed. Cutting the workers who do understand does not save money. It sends more people down the same path.

A mother's words

Stewart Kelly, an autistic man, looking towards the camera.
Stewart Kelly
"These people are human beings with a right to live, a right to care, a right to everything that so-called normal, and I don't know what normal is, people are entitled to."
Ann Jeffery · mother of Stewart Kelly, who died of starvation and dehydration in a Queensland hospital in 2022. Read the story

When support is missing

A man fell to his death because no one was watching

Kelvin Forrest, a man with Down syndrome, smiling in a work shirt.
Kelvin Forrest

Kelvin Forrest was 53. He had Down syndrome and dementia. He died at Byron Central Hospital in northern New South Wales on 28 July 2018. In the night he left the ward through an unlocked glass door onto a balcony, squeezed through the structure, climbed down onto the loading dock roof and fell.

Kelvin was known to wander. During that same admission he had already wandered out onto a busy road. Staff had put one-to-one supervision in place for a time, then stopped it. The balcony door was left unlocked on purpose, because another patient became distressed when it was locked. His family had been fighting for extra NDIS funding for 24-hour support as his dementia progressed. The inquest found failures across the hospital, the disability provider and the NDIS.

The Deputy State Coroner was clear about what would have kept him alive.

"The provision of a special could have saved Kelvin's life."
Deputy State Coroner Harriet Grahame, NSW, 2022

A "special" is one worker assigned to stay with one patient. It is the exact support this Bill cuts. The coroner called Kelvin's death a tragic and preventable accident, and recommended that hospitals identify whether a patient is disabled or on the NDIS, record their disability-related needs, and properly assess anyone at risk of wandering. Read the ABC report, or the full coronial findings.

The bottom line

You cannot cut the care and call it safety

The support worker in a hospital is not a luxury. They are the person who reads the patient, catches the missed pain, and stops a treatable problem becoming a death. Every number on this page is what the ward already looks like with that support in place. The Bill takes it away.

Disabled people are already seven times more likely to die from a potentially avoidable cause in hospital. This Bill makes the ward less safe, not more. Do not make it worse.

Tell the Senate to vote it down

This Bill makes hospital wards less safe for disabled people. Ask your senators to reject it.

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Sources

  1. Potentially avoidable deaths in hospital were 7 times higher for people with disability in 2021 to 2022 (238 vs 33 per 100,000). Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, Australia's Disability Strategy Outcomes Framework. aihw.gov.au
  2. Definition and scope of the AIHW measure (potentially avoidable deaths; population identified through disability payments and services; WA and NT excluded). AIHW factsheet, 2025. aihw.gov.au (PDF)
  3. Systemic neglect of people with cognitive disability in the health system; diagnostic overshadowing. Disability Royal Commission, Interim Report, 2020. disability.royalcommission.gov.au (PDF)
  4. 38% of deaths potentially avoidable; median age at death 54; premature mortality in adults with intellectual disability. Trollor et al, BMJ Open, 2017. bmjopen.bmj.com
  5. Autistic mortality 2.06 times the general population (NSW linked data). Hwang et al, Autism Research, 2019. onlinelibrary.wiley.com
  6. 79% of autistic adults reported at least one health-care barrier; nearly 1 in 5 reported eight or more. Arnold et al, Autism, 2024. journals.sagepub.com
  7. Suicide risk 13 times higher for autistic people without intellectual disability who also have ADHD. Hirvikoski et al, Psychological Medicine, 2020. doi.org
  8. About 4.9% lifetime suicide mortality in schizophrenia. Palmer, Pankratz and Bostwick, Archives of General Psychiatry, 2005. doi.org
  9. Life-expectancy gap for WA mental-health service users; 77.7% of excess deaths from physical illness. Lawrence, Hancock and Kisely, BMJ, 2013. bmj.com
  10. Emergency departments as inappropriate environments for autistic patients. Autism Aspergers Advocacy Australia (A4), submission to the Disability Royal Commission, 2020. a4.org.au (PDF)
  11. Emergency hospital visits and autistic children. South West Autism Network, Health guidance. swanautism.org.au
  12. Stewart Kelly died of starvation and dehydration at Robina Hospital, 33 days after admission; health service admitted significant failings. ABC News, 6 December 2023. abc.net.au
  13. Queensland Health Ombudsman found systemic failures in recognising and responding to his disability. ABC News, 12 February 2026. abc.net.au
  14. Kelvin Forrest, 53, with Down syndrome and dementia, fell to his death after leaving an unlocked ward balcony at Byron Central Hospital; coroner found a "special" could have saved his life and called it a tragic and preventable accident. Inquest into the death of Kelvin Forrest, Deputy State Coroner Harriet Grahame, 11 March 2022. coroners.nsw.gov.au (PDF). Inquest coverage: ABC News, 2 November 2021. abc.net.au